未來五年內經濟增速將保持在7%

2015/11/06 瀏覽次數:9 收藏
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  11月6日口譯文章:將來五年內年經濟增速將堅持在7%

  新華社援用習近平周二的發言稱,只管有環球商業疲軟和高內債等不肯定身分,中國將來的年經濟增加率仍舊能堅持在7%上下。

  新華社援用習近平的發言,稱中國在將來五年內將堅持不低於6.5%的年均勻增加率,以實實際現海內臨盆總值和城鄉住民人均收入比2010年翻一番的目的。

  在第三季度,中國的增加率跌至6.9%,到達經濟危急以來的最低谷。此番重挫部門源自於投資削減和央行下調利率和最低存款預備金的舉動。

  習近平表現:“綜合起來看,我國經濟往後要堅持7%上下的增加速率是大概的,但面對的不肯定性身分也比擬多。”習近平還提到,國表裏重要研討機構廣泛以為,在2016年至2020年即“十三五”時代中國國年均經濟潛伏增加率為6%到7%。

  習近平說:“從海內臨盆總值翻一番看,2016年至2020年經濟年均增加底線是6.5%以上。”

  習近平說,估計環球商業將連續冷落,中國的花費和投資會是以放緩,而且中國還大概面對著高欠債程度的潛伏危急。

  習近平在說明“十三五”籌劃(即中國在2016年到2020年的經濟社會成長藍圖)時說起,將來五年的成長重心不但要放在經濟增幅上,還要放在其質量上。

  最高引導工資放緩的增加冠以“新常態”之名,中國當局正試圖把天下第二大經濟體改變為可連續、花費者主導的成長模式。

  中國總理李克強稱中國在將來五年裏須要最少6.53%的年增加數量。本周二,在國度電台中,李克強的發言指明環保辦法的履行也是經濟增速放緩的緣故原由之一。

  投資者們正在期待當局宣告下一個五年籌劃經濟增加目的。在一場關於該五年籌劃的主要黨內集會後,有官報稱中國籌劃堅持“中等偏上”的經濟增速,來實現GDP和人均收入翻一番的目的。

  政策評論辯論方面的新聞起源稱,鑒於當下環球經濟動蕩,海內需求疲軟,決議計劃者大概會在制訂歷久增加目的時碰到更多艱苦。

  有關新聞起源稱,中國當局會更偏向於在“十三五”時代堅持6.5%到7%的增加率。該目的將在來歲三月經過人大審經過議定定。

  中國發改委主席徐紹史稱,中國有前提在將來五年內將經濟增幅堅持在中等偏上的程度。

  徐紹史在消息宣布會上說,比擬於經濟增加數據,中國當局會更傾瀉更多留意力在就業、收入和物價上。

  官方數據表現,中國當局會超出“十二五”時代的經濟增速,到達7.8%的程度。然則在當時,經濟增速已明顯下滑,從2011年的9.5%下滑到二十五年來的低谷7%。

  【參考譯文】

  China can maintain annual economic growth of around 7 percent over the next five years butthere are uncertainties, including weak global trade and high domestic debt, Xinhua newsagency quoted President Xi Jinping as saying on Tuesday.

  Annual average growth would be no less than 6.5 percent in the next five years to realize thecountry's goal of doubling 2010 gross domestic product (GDP) and per capita income by 2020,Xinhua quoted Xi as saying.

  Chinese growth dipped to 6.9 percent in the third quarter, the weakest since the globalfinancial crisis, hurt partly by cooling investment and prompting the central bank to cut interestrates and bank reserve requirements again.

  "It's possible for China's economy to maintain growth of around 7 percent (over the next fiveyears) but it also faces more uncertainties," Xi said, saying that main domestic and foreignresearch institutions believe China's potential growth could be between 6 and 7 percent in2016-2020.

  "Looking at the need to double GDP, the bottom line for annual average economic growthbetween 2016 and 2020 is more than 6.5 percent," Xi said.

  Global trade was expected to remain sluggish and growth in China's consumption andinvestment could slow, and there may be risks from high debt levels, Xi said.

  Development over the next five years should not focus just on the pace of growth, but also onthe quality, Xi was quoted as saying, explaining a proposal for the country's 13th five-yearplan, a blueprint for economic and social development between 2016 and 2020.

  Top leaders have flagged a "new normal" of slower growth as it tries to shift the world'ssecond-largest economy to sustainable, consumption-led development.

  Premier Li Keqiang has said that China needs annual growth of at least 6.53 percent over thenext five years. He was quoted by state radio as saying on Tuesday that environmentalprotection measures had contributed to the growth slowdown.

  Investors are waiting for the announcement of an economic growth target for the next fiveyears. A communique issued after a key party meeting that discussed the five-year plan saidChina aims to keep the economy growing at "a medium-to-high rate" to achieve the goal ofdoubling GDP and per capita income.

  Policymakers may face more challenges in deciding the long-term growth target givenuncertainties in the global economy and signs of weakness in domestic demand, sourcesinvolved in policy discussions say.

  The government may favor annual growth of between 6.5 percent and 7 percent for 2016-2020, some sources say. The growth target needs approval from parliament when it meets inMarch.

  Xu Shaoshi, chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the topplanning agency, said China had the conditions to keep economic growth at a medium-to-highrate in the next five years.

  Xu told a news conference that the government would give more attention to employment,incomes and consumer prices than economic growth figures.

  The government will exceed the 7 percent target for the current 2011-15 five-year plan withgrowth averaging around 7.8 percent, official data shows. But growth has slowed markedly inthat time, from 9.5 percent in 2011, to being on track for a quarter-century low of around 7percent this year.