6月12日VOA聽力：英國公投離開歐盟 浩瀚隱患危急四伏
The Washington-based Pew Research Centerinterviewed 10,000 people across Europe. Theiranswers showed that skepticism about the EU wasnot confined to Britain. France viewed the bloc evenmore unfavorably than its neighbor across theEnglish Channel, with just 38 percent of peoplehaving a positive opinion of the EU, compared with69 percent in 2004. In Spain, approval of the EU has fallen from 80 percent to 47 percent. TimOliver of the London School of Economics said a British vote to leave the EU could lead todemands for similar referendums across the continent. “However, whether or not they’ll succeeddepends on, one, what happens to the UK. If the UK struggles, then that sets quite a powerfulmessage to the rest of the European Union." And secondly, it depends on what happens in theEurozone, it depends what happens in Schengen, it depends what happens with Russia. TheEuropean Union faces several crises at the moment, and Britain is one of them.” Oliver addedthat a British divorce from the EU likely would be lengthy and bitter. For the rest of the EU, “there has to be an economic cost" to the United Kingdom if it leaves the bloc, he said. "The UKcan’t withdraw and not feel any punishment, any costs and so forth, and get a newrelationship with the EU, or else that might encourage other member states to do the samething.”
Refugee crisis
Pew researchers said much of the disapproval of the EU is related to its handling of therefugee crisis. More than 1 million migrants arrived in Greece in 2015; disapproval of Brussels’migrant policies there runs at 94 percent. A simultaneous so-called Brexit crisis could pushEurope to the brink. “They haven’t solved each crisis, they’ve just managed to cope and moveon, and hope they’ll find a solution later on. If several crises align at the same time, that putsthe EU in uncharted territory, and that is quite dangerous.” In a speech Wednesday, formerBritish Foreign Secretary William Hague warned that a British exit could sow wider division. “Ifwe lift our eyes from our local concerns to the challenges coming our way within this continentand beyond it, then the risks of leaving are too great," Hague said at analyst group ChathamHouse. "Above all, the danger of a fractured, divided and weakened West is one we must do ourutmost to avoid.” And with disapproval of the EU growing across the continent, analysts saya British exit could have much wider consequences for Europe and beyond.
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