希臘債務協議只是權宜之計

2015/06/25 瀏覽次數:22 收藏
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  6月25日VOA聽力:希臘債務協定只是權宜之計

  A proposal from the Greek government could bethe basis of a deal with its creditors to avoiddefault on a large payment due to theInternational Monetary Fund next week.

  But some analysts say, even if achieved, thedeal would be a short-term fix at best.

  The Greek Prime Minister went to Brussels Monday to present the new proposal to hiseurozone counterparts – a series of small concessions on key points that he hopes will beenough to ease the crisis without angering his people too much.

  "I think this is time for a substantial and viable solution that would allow Greece to come backto growth within the eurozone, with social justice and cohesion," he said.

  His position was bolstered by a large protest in Athens Monday night in favor of steps to keepGreece in the eurozone.

  But there is also lots of anger in Greece about what many people see as oppressive austerityimposed by the country’s creditors.

  An increasing number of experts agree the austerity has hurt the country’s ability to repay itsdebt.

  “We need to do everything right now to make the Greek economy grow again, that’s the onlyway out."

  Economist Dennis Novy of Britain’s University of Warwick says without growth, he adds, anydeal will only a temporary fix.

  “Germany and France, the European Union and the IMF have to stop asking for these fiscalreforms in Greece that actually push the economy down further,” he said.

  Still, even the possibility of an imperfect and short-term accord has calmed financial markets,and it may help foster growth, according to Zsolt Darvas of the Brussels-based BruegelInstitute, who spoke via Skype.

  “If a credible agreement would be able to remove the uncertainty about Greek membership,then I think the Greek economy would start to grow, even if the Greek government would haveto do some further, much smaller fiscal adjustment,” he said.

  But any growth in Greece will be slow and willn't be strong enough to solve the debt repaymentproblem for years, so Dennis Novy is unimpressed by this week’s highly-toutedbreakthrough.

  “They have a common interest in avoiding the short-term problem, but for a long-termsolution, I don’t think we’re any closer to a deal,” he said.

  Novy says Greece and its creditors will likely reach another crisis point in a couple of months.

  This time, he says, it’s the creditors who should offer real, long-term debt relief to keep thecountry in the eurozone and perhaps put the longstanding crisis behind them.
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