分析師擔心希臘危機蔓延

　　7月8日VOA聽力：剖析師擔憂希臘危急舒展至亞洲

　　A Goldman Sachs financial assessment this weekpredicted Asian emerging markets will experience“rather limited direct financial exposure” from aGreek default on international loans and exit fromthe Eurozone.

　　“They have a very large foreign exchange reserves.

　　So whatever the financial shock waves that goaround, are not going to hit these place that much.”

　　“If China's transition is not smooth, economies will be hit pretty hard.

　　For most Asian countries, China is the largest trading partner.

　　So if Chinese demand is weakened, there will be a big impact.”

　　At the same time,South Korea's economy is trying to recover from a downturn in tourism anddomestic spending following an outbreak in of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome.

　　And although Japan has been experiencing relatively strong growth recently, it is still recoveringfrom last year's recession.

　　Goldman Sachs expects Greece to remain in the eurozone even if it continues to default on itsinternational loans.

　　Its analysts project weaker European currencies as a result of the crisis, but only leading to alimited, less than 2% decline, in Asian exports.

　　But a significant contraction in the European economy could stagnate global trade,weakening demand for the exports that are key to Asia's growth.

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